Chapter 9 - Options

Option trading presents many more possibilities to vary your trading plan than do just futures,
bonds or stocks. There are as many ways to trade a position or scenario, as there are ideas it seems.
Phantom uses options for various reasons, as do most traders who understand them.
The purpose of this chapter is to give insight to all traders and not to narrow the insight just to the
experts. There is much to be learned about trading options and good research is needed to become
properly prepared in trading them. Keep an open mind as to what the market can present on both
sides of the ledger.

ALS – Phantom, I know you don’t see or do as most traders when it comes to option trading. How
can we better understand proper trading of options.

POP – Most traders know what options are and how they work. I view them as ICE CUBES, which
can either, melt or get larger when the water around them also freezes. When water freezes it will
take up more volume than the water did in the original state.
An option can get bigger than it’s original size if all goes well for the trader. They can also melt
with predictability.
I like to weigh each of my option positions against a futures contract. By this I mean that each
position or combination of positions has a weight. To impress upon you my view let us use a
balancing scale. You know the kind I mean as one which has a platform on each side of a balance
Put an ice cube in the glass of water and I consider the weight of the ice cube as a call, which has
been purchased. I consider the weight of the water as a put, which has been sold.
Regardless of how large the ice cube (long call) or how much water is left (short put), the total
weight of that glass will remain the same. The ice cube can become larger when the temperature
drops below 32 degrees and the water can become reduced liquid. It is the same with the call and
the put. They can and will change size.
I call the size of each ice cube the DELTA and also the amounts of water a delta. Anytime you add
the long call delta and the short put delta at the same strike price you will get 100 in theory
excluding the interest rate factor, volatility and time element.
Using this as a rule of thumb for our understanding we will assume positive 100 percent delta in
this case. You can consider the opposite as the ice cube (short call) and glass of water (long put) as
a call sold and put bought as negative 100 percent delta.
On the other side of the balancing scale you will have an equal futures position of some size and
bias which will equal the option side which balances the scales.
Your glass of water with an ice cube (long call short put at same strike) is equal to short one
contract of the futures you are trading. You will remain balanced and have no risk as long as this
position is in place.
We call this a conversion. The option side of the scale is the synthetic future. You would be either
long or short a synthetic future which can be offset with an opposite futures contract.
Pretty simple at this point. You start to throw variables in and it changes dramatically. Each glass is
going to be a different size depending on the strike price. In other words even though the delta of
our initial position will be 100 percent regardless of strike the size of the glass will be different.
I consider the size of the glass as the value of the water and ice cube added together. It will be a
different at different strike prices. The delta remains at 100 percent.

You may be getting into this description and even a little ahead of me. If you have had geometry
you can have some good fun with this approach.
We can now think of throwing out the futures contract but want to balance the scale still! We put on
the other side of the scale the opposite option position and we have our balanced position still! But
guess what? What we have really done is to offset our position and no position exists on either side
of the balanced scale.
We can only make money in certain situations but we must know what we can do to move our
position around when required.
Now we get into the ifs. There is no limit to what we can do almost no limit I should say. What we
want to do is to come up with a plan to make money in almost any situation. We must also find a
way to include rules one and two.
We discover that we can balance the scale by using different strike prices and not just the same
strike price. We also can tilt the scale to one side and leave it biased to the long or short side. Pretty
simple still. Now add a balanced scale on each side of the existing balanced scale. You have three
balanced scales to work with.
You can add four more balanced scales to the last two on each side. You see you now have
possibility of each of the balanced scales giving you an opportunity to move positions around but
still keeping it balanced. It becomes trickier with each set of balanced scales you place in use.
You can even add as many balanced scales as you wish but you are out of control trying to stay
balanced. This is what happens to some option positions not well thought out.
I hope I didn’t confuse anyone with the balanced scales and ice cubes but it is critical to understand
what each move can do to your overall position. My option model is a combination of balanced
scales as data input to the program, which determines what each variable will do to my position.
You can make money when you know how to use volatility, time decay and price movement. The
criteria research becomes a little more intense and expanded.
Without getting into specific programs, we’ll discuss the fact that there are certain option positions,
which work with my rules. Extensive option understanding is beyond the scope of what I am trying
to teach you. I only want to show you how you can incorporate option trading into a good method
of trading while using rule one and two to protect your drawdown.

ALS – I know you use vectors, weights, volumes and angles as part of your computer program to
establish criteria of balance as well as the usual research of option evaluation. I also know you
developed your own evaluation of options worth, which is different from most programs. Is it
because you don’t want to play someone else’s game?
POP – It’s like a basketball, which retains the same shape, but when the pressure changes is a
different bounce. Same with options. I consider an option evaluation in a bull market different than
in a bear market. The market just considers the volatility different. It is only how you can best work
with options.
If I gave you a notice that from now on we would consider bearish options and bullish options and
not just change the volatility to fit the price, you could better understand what is expected of your
trade instead of guessing the changing volatility every day.
This has all been debated before and we aren’t going to change what is believed to be the best
method. In fact sometimes when you are with a different view, you are better off.
I am going to explore some option possibilities, which uses rule one to start. Since we are going to
assume we are wrong until prove correct in options also, we will put a fairly protected position on
to start. Let us say we have a bull market started as we see from our criteria platform.

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Bull spread is buying a lower strike and selling a higher strike price. This leaves rule one in use.
Option experts are going to say we only put a smaller option position on. Yes, that is correct for the
purpose of requiring the market to prove us correct. Let us say we bought a 1000 strike when the
future was at 990 and we sold a 1010 strike just for example use.
If we had bought a 1000 call outright we would have paid more for the call than by also selling a
1010 strike. We have limited our potential loss at this point to the debit we paid out. Let us say we
had a debit of 3. An outright call bought without the bull spread would have cost us say 5. We have
already started to use rule one by reducing our possible loss to 3. Our maximum loss is 3 at any
What can now happen? Three things can happen. One of them isn’t going to happen as the price
never remains the same very long. So we are going up or down. What else can happen to our
position? We can lose time value as the ice cube melts and we can lose volatility as the interest in
trading falls.
We have used rule one so we are slightly protected from time decay because we don’t have as large
of a position as we could have with an outright call. We are also slightly protected form falling
volatility because we are not with as large a position as we could have had with an outright call.
Ok but the experts are saying that we did all this at the expense of potential profit. Yes, indeed right
again. But isn’t rule one to keep our losses as small as we can? Isn’t the name of the game to stay in
the game forever? Yes, so we need rule two to make our money! Rule two actually works better in
options than futures. The main reason is that volatility can increase and decrease.
With futures, sure they may go limit up or down but options move value as expected and then some
extra because of what the experts call volatility changes. I call it changes form liquid to solid! Water
freezes with higher volume as a solid.
At any time you are not risking more than 3 in our example and you are long a 1000 call and short a
1010 call (bull spread.) Let us say that our criteria for being correct are that the market moves at
least 15 points. So at 1005 we accept being correct at this price.
We will make our position larger at this point. How? We have many option possibilities but the best
option is to buy a higher strike than where our current position is due to the increase in volatility.
We want a delta (position size) which can more than double.
A delta of 50.60,75 can only go to 100. A lower delta gives us a possible double plus, triple plus,
etc. Also we are risking less equity.
Ok we buy a 1020 strike for example purposes. Let us say we pay 6 due to increased volatility for it.
So what do we risk now? We risk our original 3 but because of volatility increase and price
movement we have a value of let us say 6 on our original bull spread.
Ok since we paid 6 for the 1020 strike we still have only 3 at risk or do we? We have a value of 6
(1000/1010 bull spread value) + 6 (1020 call purchase price) or a value of 12 and have only paid out
3+6 or 9.
We show a profit of 3 at this point and can work with our rule one and have a no additional risk on
our position by using criteria here forward, which protects us from negative drawdown.
To do this we remain alert to be swift and use rule one properly. We don’t know this position is ok
yet. We have also used rule two here by adding.
The values of these moves will depend on time remaining and volatility changes but for example
purpose of using rules one and two we won’t consider those variables at this time. After two weeks
we have a move to say 1030. We are flagged it is time to reverse. What do we do now?

Now comes the interesting part in options. Most traders want to take their profits. But we are using
rule two again here. We must press our position and the market looks like a reversal. We don’t take
our profits but decide to set up our payday.
We do this by selling another 1010 call. This leaves us with a bull spread and a bear spread with 3
strike prices. In fact we could call this a butterfly. We sell the 1010 call at 20 due to increased
volatility again. Ok so what do we have at risk in the trade. We paid 3 for the first bull spread of
1000 long call and short 1010 call plus we paid 6 for the 1020 call.
But wait we sold the last 1010 call at 20. That means we have -3+(-6)= -9 paid out and +20 received.
We are up 11 points. Ok the experts say you could have had more if we had just offset the positions.
Ok so we’re bad! We still have 367 percent profit so far. That isn’t bad is it?
Two weeks later the market is at option expiration and the price of futures is at 1009. Oh, darn we
forgot our butterfly position! Well let us salvage what we can! What is the butterfly worth now?
The answer is 9. Ok so we offset it and take commission charges or we don’t offset it and let it
offset by our exercising the 1000 call.
In the end by leaving the butterfly on we set up a payday provided the market was within 1000-
1020 at expiration. We made anywhere from 11 to 21 (depending on where the butterfly is offset)
on the trade. We made the 11 from the sale of the 1010 call and anywhere from 0 to 10 depending
on where the butterfly is offset. Don’t take all your profits but let leverage work for you in options.
Our maximum risk was our original 3 and never more by using rule one correctly in options by
having a limited risk. We also added to our position and used rule two. But wait there is more!
Once we put the second short call on to establish the butterfly we were never going to lose anything
because we bought our butterfly by being given 11 to take the total trade of four options over the
range of movement. Two options long at 1000 and 1020 strikes and short two options at 1010 strike
for a butterfly legged into. In other words as soon as we neutralized or balanced the scales on each
side, we could never lose.
The experts again say what if the market had gone to 980 instead of up to 1005 and then 1030? Well
we would have lost 3. So what kind of ratio did we set up for our trade in options? Risk 3 gain 20,
6.6:1 and slightly less with commission and depending on where the market price established itself
at expiration.

ALS – It looks easy. Is that all there is to it?

POP – I don’t want anyone to think it is that easy because you must be aware of what is required in
exercising options and the effects of increased volatility and decreased volatility. This is a start to
give you the desire to learn more about options.
One of the big keys in options is the hidden secret of putting on no or low risk trades by working
the positions into a no risk trade with the potential of a big payday toward expiration.
If you are to trade butterflies you must learn that the proper time to outright buy them is at a large
time out and the liquidity may not always be good to put them on. You can often put them on with
bull spreads and then a bear spread. Commission costs are a concern if you are at a full brokerage.
You must figure all of the costs to reduce the ration of pay out.

ALS – Do you want to go into some other strategies?

POP – Let us put this on the back burner and see what the traders want?


Note: There are so many good books on option trading and since it was not the purpose to show
different strategies, we will leave you to further research. The main point Phantom wanted to make
is that you can and should incorporate rules one and two in option trading as well as futures only

An option can get bigger than it’s original size if all goes well for the trader. They can also melt
with predictability. “—POP