Tag: forex

外匯交易高手的七個習慣

習慣無論好壞,適用於生活中的各方面。下面就來看一下習慣是如何影響我所熱衷的領域——外匯交易。多年來,我發現以下七個習慣可以讓交易者腳踏實地,更重要的是使他們持續盈利。

  • 習慣1:知道做每筆交易的原因

  很多交易者嘗試在市場投資是因為他們“認為”有利可圖。通常情況下是當價格大幅度下降之後交易者就會出手,因為他們認為“價格已經降到很低,一定會反彈”。

  例如,從2009年12月1日至2010年3月31日,歐元對美元比價從1.51高位下跌至1.32低位。短短4個月近1900點的變化令人驚訝。

  如果您等到歐元對美元下跌500點或700點,甚至是更龐大的1000點時再出手,那損失可就太大了。

  關鍵是,做每一筆交易都要有原因。這意味著您必須遵循一個交易計劃。交易永遠不能“憑直覺”。

  •   習慣2:總有新交易

  在我的交易生涯中,我所遇到的交易者似乎總是提心吊膽,他們因為“錯過了交易”而變得焦慮和沮喪,十分後悔這一天沒有一直用筆記本電腦來完成所有重要的交易。

  外匯市場每天的交易額約四百萬億美元,是世界上最大的金融市場。交易機會源源不斷,所以不要因為失去一次機會自責。誰說失之交臂的這次交易就一定能盈利?這樣想算是個安慰吧。

  •   習慣3:要果斷斬倉

  這個習慣是我教學生時的準則。我有時和學生開玩笑說,如果我聽說哪個學生在進行交易後沒有斬倉,那麼無論我當時在哪裡,都會親自飛回來打他的頭!

  請相信我,交易者賬戶虧損的最重要原因就是他們有承擔過度風險的習慣。不要落入這個陷阱,始終要進行斬倉。從今天起把它變成習慣吧。

  •   習慣4:虧損後不要報復

  您剛才在模擬賬戶完成試手交易,現在要準備進行真實交易了。第一次機會來了,是時候賺大錢了!

  您進行了一次交易,可您被迫斬倉。您又試了一次交易,可再次斬倉。

  您惱了,交易不應該這樣啊!

  第三次交易時,您把投資成本提高到原來的三倍,因為您想“贏回”外匯交易市場無情地從您手中搶走的錢。

  這個行為聽起來太熟悉了,對嗎?

  不要陷入“復仇”陷阱。外匯市場會讓您付出慘痛的代價。這裡的關鍵是您要明白這不是只針對您一個人的。沒人每筆交易都能賺。您應該做的是離開電腦,並重新分析您的交易計劃。

  如果一切按計劃進行,那麼太好了!有損失是正常的,接受這個事實吧。

  •   習慣5:記錄交易日記

  這點很難,並不是很多交易者都這樣做。那些記日記的人是真的相信它有不可估量的有效性。

  交易日記應記錄您在交易之前所做的決定,並記下您完成目標後的想法和情緒。下列簡短清單告訴您交易日記應包括哪些內容:

  1)交易的日期和時間

  2)貨幣對(如歐元/美元,美元/日元或英鎊/加元)

  3)採取的行動/策略(長期或短期)

  4)風險(多少手,斬倉)

  5)潛在的利潤(您有一個或多個利潤目標嗎?)

  6)結果(利潤/損失)

  7)狀態(您有什麼想法和情緒?您做交易的步驟是否正確?)

  交易日記就像路線圖,它可以幫您指明道路。這裡有一個問題:如果您不記錄您的進展,您怎麼會知道是不是走對方向了?

  如果您沒有一個框架作為衡量標準,您怎麼知道某些“壞習慣”會不會無意中成為您的絆腳石?從今天開始記交易日記吧!

  •   習慣6:保持頭腦清醒

  剛剛和朋友或家人激烈地吵了一架,這個時候做分析或交易明智嗎?或者您一天工作了14個小時,您的老闆因為您沒完成任務罵了您一頓,這個時候做決定明智嗎?

  當然不明智。當您準備在電腦上交易前,必須始終保持著清醒的頭腦。您不希望任何情緒使您產生幻覺,看到了屏幕上本不存在的圖案。

  •   習慣7:始終為自己開工資

  這個習慣很重要嗎?當然。

  交易的最終目的是什麼?是產生持續的利潤回報。然而,要是您不享受交易所帶來的成果,那還有什麼意義呢?

  在這個行業有很多方式來為自己開工資。我列出幾個:

  1)設立一個賺回全部本錢的目標。當達到這個目標時,取出您的啟動資金,並利用已經賺到的錢進行之後的交易。這實際上是一種“無風險”的買賣了。

  2)當您賬戶裡的錢已經到達一定數額,取出20%的利潤,留下剩餘的錢繼續加註。要保證取出的錢遠遠多於您可能要付給經紀人的費用。

  現在您清楚外匯交易高手的七個習慣了。怎麼慢慢養成這些習慣呢?很簡單,您只要在相當長的一段時間內一直做這些事,那麼這些行為自然而然就會成為您的習慣了。

  之後您就能發展成一個成熟的交易者,成為交易世界裡不可忽視的力量。

  最後,我想和您分享史上最偉大橄欖球教練文斯·隆巴迪的一段精彩名句:

  成功不是一時之事;

  成功是始終如一。

  成功不是偶然,

  不是偶爾做對一件事,

  而是始終正確行事。

  成功是種習慣,

  不幸的是,失敗亦是如此。

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However, the performance of the commodity market can be easily monitored by analyzing the performance of the equity and bond market. In most cases, if others don’t do well, the commodity market will do well, and vice versa. Therefore, it is possible to make predictions of future prices and enter into contracts taking into account other markets’ ups and downs. The prerequisite would be that assets in the commodity market are not correlated with the equity and bond markets.

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